Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.005197 0.005747 0.006342 0.007037 0.007828 0.008703 0.009748
2025-07-20 0.004386 0.005158 0.006061 0.007203 0.008621 0.010341 0.012611
2025-07-27 0.003833 0.004688 0.005738 0.007138 0.008984 0.011370 0.014751
2025-08-03 0.003462 0.004367 0.005523 0.007134 0.009363 0.012405 0.016989
2025-08-10 0.003147 0.004072 0.005291 0.007053 0.009595 0.013230 0.019015
2025-08-17 0.002934 0.003884 0.005173 0.007099 0.009988 0.014306 0.021548
2025-08-24 0.002717 0.003666 0.004988 0.007019 0.010171 0.015070 0.023687
2025-08-31 0.002492 0.003417 0.004732 0.006804 0.010113 0.015434 0.025195
2025-09-07 0.002349 0.003274 0.004617 0.006786 0.010354 0.016299 0.027698
2025-09-14 0.002282 0.003235 0.004652 0.007000 0.010989 0.017900 0.031822
2025-09-21 0.002140 0.003073 0.004483 0.006869 0.011024 0.018443 0.033985
2025-09-28 0.002011 0.002922 0.004321 0.006731 0.011029 0.018924 0.036094
2025-10-05 0.001914 0.002820 0.004234 0.006726 0.011291 0.019965 0.039695
2025-10-12 0.001856 0.002776 0.004240 0.006883 0.011873 0.021725 0.045327
2025-10-19 0.001763 0.002667 0.004130 0.006821 0.012032 0.022646 0.049198
2025-10-26 0.001688 0.002583 0.004056 0.006817 0.012299 0.023830 0.054005
2025-11-02 0.001607 0.002485 0.003948 0.006741 0.012409 0.024684 0.058156
2025-11-09 0.001552 0.002426 0.003907 0.006785 0.012770 0.026157 0.064398
2025-11-16 0.001482 0.002339 0.003808 0.006709 0.012869 0.027031 0.069152
2025-11-23 0.001399 0.002224 0.003651 0.006506 0.012668 0.027152 0.071667
2025-11-30 0.001349 0.002163 0.003590 0.006488 0.012877 0.028323 0.077852
2025-12-07 0.001332 0.002160 0.003635 0.006690 0.013608 0.030957 0.089784
2025-12-14 0.001272 0.002079 0.003527 0.006567 0.013565 0.031529 0.094688